COFFEE LAND COVER CHANGES ANALYSES: A STUDY CASE IN SÃO PAULO STATE
Keywords:Land cover changes, hotspots, coffee abandonment
In this research, we combine data analyses with hotspots method to identify the spatio-temporal trend of São Paulo’s coffee cultivation area. Our hypothesis is that coffee cultivation area has been changing significantly in the study area since 1990. Therefore, the main goal of this research was to map the spatial pattern of coffee land use change. For coffee land use diagnostics, official data of cultivated area, hotspot analyses and growth rate were used. The results demonstrated that coffee cultivation area decreased and concentrated in smaller areas, which are traditionally recognized as “coffee quality regions”. The producer size analyses evidenced that, not only the localization, but also the producer profile changes as well. Smallholders increased but medium and large producers decreased significantly in the studied period. The coffee abandonment analyses demonstrated that, over the study period, 51.46% of the coffee area cultivated in the study region was abandoned.
AHMED, S.A.; DIFFENBAUGH, N.S.; HERTEL, T.W. Climate volatility deepens poverty vulnerability in developing countries Environ. Res. Lett., v.4, n.3, p.1-8, 2009. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/4/3/034004
BABIN, N. The Coffee Crisis, Fair Trade, and Agroecological Transformation: Impacts on Land-Use Change in Costa Rica. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems, 39:1, 99-129, 2015. DOI: 10.1080/21683565.2014.960549
BONGASE, E.D. Impacts of climate change on global coffee production industry: Review. American Journal of Agricultural Reserach, v. 12, n. 19, p. 1607-1611, May, 2017.
BROWN, G.; STRICKLAND-MUNRO, J.; KOBRYN, H.; MOORE, S.A. Mixed methods participatory GIS: An evaluation of the validity of qualitative and quantitative mapping methods. Applied Geography, v. 79, p.153-166, 2017. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2016.12.015
GETIS, A.; ORD, J.K. The analysis of spatial association by use of distance statistics. Geographical Analysis, v. 24, n.3, p. 189-206, 1992.
HARRIS, N.L; GOLDMAN, E.; GABRIS, C.; NORDLING, J.; MINNEMEYER, S.; ANSARI, S.; LIPPMANN, M.; BENNET, L.; RAAD, M.; HANSEN, M. Using spatial statistics to identify emerging hot spots of forest loss. Environmental Research Letters, v.12, n.2, p.1-13, 2017. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5a2f
International Coffee Organization, ICO. Statistics. Available www.ico.org. 2018
KLEEMANN, J.; BAYSAL, G.; BULLEY, H.N.N.; FURST, C. Assessing driving forces of land use and land cover change by a mixed-method approach in north-eastern Ghana, West Africa. Journal of Environmental Management, v. 186, p 411-442, 2017.
LÄDERACH, P., RAMIREZ–VILLEGAS, J., NAVARRO-RACINES, C. et al. Climate change adaptation of coffee production in space and time. Climatic Change, v.141, n.1, pp. 47-62, 2017. Doi. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1788-9
LIBISELLER, C.;GRIMVALL, A. Performance of partial Mann-Kendall tests for trend detection in the presence of covariates. Environmetrics, v. 13, p. 71–84, 2002. doi:10.1002/env.507.
OLIVER, T.M.; MORECROFT, M.D. Interactions between climate change and land use change on biodiversity: attribution problems, risks, and opportunities. WIREs Climate Change. V.5, n. 3, p. 317-335, 2014. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.271
SAMPER, M. Costa Rica’s response to the coffee crisis. Latin American Perspectives, v. 37, n.2, p. 72–92, 2010.
SMITH R.F. A History of Coffee. In: Clifford M.N., Willson K.C. (eds) Coffee. Springer, Boston, MA. 1985. chap. 1, p. 1-13. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-6657-1_1
WIJNGAARD, J. B., KLEIN TANK, A. M. G. and KNNEN, G. P. Homogeneity of 20th century European daily temperature and precipitation series. Int. J. Climatol., v. 23, p. 679- 692, 2003. doi: 10.1002/joc.906
ZULLO JUNIOR, J.; PINTO, H.S.; ASSAD, E.D.; ÁVILA, A.M.H. Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world. Climatic Change, v. 109, n.3-4, p. 535-548, 2011. doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0058-0
How to Cite
Os direitos autorais dos artigos publicados nesta revista pertencem aos autores, com os primeiros direitos de publicação pertencentes à revista. Como os artigos aparecem nesta revista com acesso aberto, eles podem ser usados livremente, com as devidas atribuições, em aplicativos educacionais e não comerciais.